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A new poll by the Republikon Institute shows that Viktor Orbán is better known than his challenger Péter Márki-Zay, but the latter is more popular and more acceptable in all social groups than the reigning prime minister, and among uncertain voters he is twice as popular than the president of Fidesz.

Overall, 55% of respondents had a favorable opinion of Péter Márki-Zay, while only 43% said they liked Viktor Orbán. The difference between the two candidates was even greater among uncertain voters, as democratic opposition leader Márki-Zay’s popularity in this group was 66%, but Orbán was only popular with 33% of them.

The recent poll also showed that Viktor Orbán is more well-known than the mayor of Hódmezővásárhely. 88% of those surveyed were able to form an opinion one way or another on the current prime minister, while only 71% could do the same for Márki-Zay.

Broken down by age, Péter Márki-Zay is much more popular among young people than Viktor Orbán, but among older people the difference between the two candidates was much less pronounced. Location-wise, opposition leader Márki-Zay does much better in Budapest, county seats and rural towns, while the two candidates are nearly head-to-head in smaller towns and villages.

The poll also examined party preferences in the population, finding that support for larger parties has declined, but small parties increased their support among both the general population and party voters. Fidesz’s support fell by 2 percentage points among the total population, from 34% to 32% in Republikon’s survey.

Among the opposition parties, the Democratic Coalition (DK) also weakened by 2%, and currently stands at 12% support. Jobbik and the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) also lost one percentage point each, with Jobbik standing at 9% and the MSZP at 5%.

Momentum’s support remains at 7%, and Politics Can Be Different (LMP) and the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) at 2% each in the poll. Left-wing Párbeszéd gained a percentage point to capture 3% of voters, while far-right Our Homeland also gained a point to get 2% support. Finally, the proportion of uncertain voters also went up from 22% to 24% compared to the previous month.

The left-leaning Republikon Institute conducted the poll through telephone interviews with 1,000 people between October 25-29, balanced by gender, age, education, and type of settlement, and with a margin of error of 3.2%.

[Telex]

By Steven N.

Steven is the editor-in-chief of Hungarian Politics. He has been following the political scene in Hungary and the Central European region more or less since 1994.