Steven N.Fidesz’ advantage over its opposition has decreased since the election, but the governing party still has a confident lead over its rivals, reports Telex on the latest poll by the Republikon Institute.
In the polling institute’s October party preference survey, Hungary’s ruling party won the support of 35% of the entire electorate.
Left-wing DK was once again the strongest party in the opposition, gaining 12% support, with far-right Our Homeland slightly behind them at 7%. The poll showed Momentum with 6% support, MSZP at 4%, Jobbik with 3%, LMP and MKKP both getting 2%, and Dialogue winning 1% of the electorate.
The survey also revealed that uncertain voters made up 28% of the population, a much higher proportion than in the parliamentary elections in the spring.
Among voters with definite party preferences, 51% would give their support to Fidesz, while 16% would go to DK, 9% to Our Homeland, 8% to Momentum, and 6% would vote for MSZP if elections were held this Sunday. A further 4% would support Jobbik, LMP would get 3%, Dialogue would win 2%, and MKKP would get the vote from 1% of those with definite party preferences.
Combined together, support for the six opposition parties that formed the election coalition in April (DK, Momentum, MSZP, Jobbik, LMP, Dialogue) is at 38% among definite party preference voters, which is 3.5 percentage points higher than their final electoral results on the party list vote.
The difference between the two blocs is 13 percentage points (51% Fidesz – 38% united opposition), compared to a difference of nearly 20 percentage points in April. The change is due to slightly higher support for both the united opposition and for Our Homeland. [444]
There can be little question that the high inflation and the war inspires doubt and uncertainty among voters. And the national media “firewall” combined with the, for a European country, extremely low general level of non-Russian foreign language skills, add to the public debate vacuum. However, the current rise in professional brain drain, increasing demands for qualified labor and the better wages in the EU, act to sustain the popular appreciation of “home grown” nationalist politics, which ultimately favor security.